Auston Matthews vs Mika Zibanejad
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 73.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Matthews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Matthews
Zibanejad
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
52.9% (870)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
53.5% (43)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
46.2% (143)
+4.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zibanejad
Home
59.1% (528)
55.1% (501)
Away
55.1% (695)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Matthews
Zibanejad
P1
56.2%
57.5%
P2
58.1%
50.7%
P3
56.4%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.8%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |