Auston Matthews vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 47 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 87-64 in 151 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 70.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 60.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Matthews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
87
-
64
(151 meetings)
87
64
Matthews
Zibanejad
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
31
16
Matthews
Zibanejad
47 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
22
15
Matthews
Zibanejad
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
34
33
Matthews
Zibanejad
67 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.9% (11,756)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.2% (1,852)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
41.6% (1,796)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zibanejad
Home
56.3% (5,065)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Matthews
Zibanejad
P1
55.5%
50.4%
P2
53.3%
49.7%
P3
52.8%
49.9%
OT
56.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |