Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +56.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Cates 46.7% (+56.2%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 66.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Matthews
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
0.0% (6)
+56.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cates
Home
60.7% (572)
0.0% (5)
Away
52.4% (657)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Matthews
Cates
P1
60.3%
0.0%
P2
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.2%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
0.0%