Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Stastny 56.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Matthews
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
57.5% (412)
-4.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
60.0% (65)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.4% (9)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stastny
Home
54.8% (515)
58.3% (276)
Away
50.2% (534)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Matthews
Stastny
P1
54.4%
63.7%
P2
50.4%
57.3%
P3
51.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
52.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |