Auston Matthews vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.2%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 42 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Danault 53.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 87-75 in 162 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 74.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Matthews
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
75
-
87
(162 meetings)
75
87
Matthews
Danault
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
34
18
Matthews
Danault
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
8
34
Matthews
Danault
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
33
35
Matthews
Danault
68 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.6% (9,481)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
61.3% (758)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
47.4% (1,710)
+2.4%
On power play, Danault has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Matthews
Danault
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Matthews
Danault
P1
55.5%
53.7%
P2
53.3%
53.4%
P3
52.8%
52.7%
OT
56.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |