Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Strome 45.9% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone
Strome 57.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Matthews
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
45.4% (315)
+14.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
35.7% (28)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
50.0% (4)
+6.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Matthews
Strome
Home
60.0% (520)
42.6% (188)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Matthews
Strome
P1
60.2%
38.6%
P2
58.2%
48.4%
P3
60.4%
46.2%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%