Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McDavid
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs McDavid 47.9% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 66.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 59.2%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Goodrow
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
47.7% (715)
+2.3%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
51.9% (52)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
22.2% (9)
+8.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McDavid
Home
40.0% (130)
47.3% (387)
Away
45.9% (122)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Goodrow
McDavid
P1
48.8%
47.6%
P2
35.0%
50.0%
P3
44.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
42.9%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.7%