Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McDavid
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs McDavid 48.1% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Goodrow
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
47.7% (686)
-8.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
49.3% (75)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.9% (45)
+1.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McDavid
Home
36.0% (25)
50.0% (412)
Away
50.0% (12)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Goodrow
McDavid
P1
46.2%
48.0%
P2
28.6%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
20.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%