Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Paul 53.6% (-13.8%)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Goodrow
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
53.7% (354)
-14.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.0% (61)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
52.9% (34)
-2.9%
On power play, Paul has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Paul
Home
36.0% (25)
55.1% (216)
Away
50.0% (12)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Goodrow
Paul
P1
46.2%
54.9%
P2
28.6%
54.5%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
20.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%