Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Goodrow leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 79.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 63.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Goodrow
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Goodrow
Paul
Last 10: Goodrow 8-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Goodrow
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
7
0
Goodrow
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Goodrow
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
52.6% (3,823)
-0.3%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
56.2% (484)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (941)
46.9% (576)
-2.6%
On power play, Paul has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Paul
Home
51.9% (2,109)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
48.7% (2,103)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Goodrow
Paul
P1
50.5%
53.8%
P2
49.2%
51.0%
P3
51.3%
52.2%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
50.3%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |