Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Coyle 49.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Hayton
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
3
Hayton
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
50.6% (921)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
51.0% (96)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
30.1% (83)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Hayton
Coyle
Home
48.8% (424)
51.8% (517)
Away
47.5% (438)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Hayton
Coyle
P1
52.9%
49.2%
P2
47.3%
52.8%
P3
44.1%
44.8%
OT
70.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
48.1%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |