Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Nazar 47.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 57.1%
Defensive zone
Nazar 59.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 57.2%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Hayton
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Hayton
Nazar
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
5
Hayton
Nazar
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Hayton
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
47.2% (574)
+5.2%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
51.0% (143)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
30.2% (43)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Hayton
Nazar
Home
56.8% (433)
45.0% (329)
Away
47.4% (344)
48.5% (431)
By Period
Hayton
Nazar
P1
52.8%
47.8%
P2
50.3%
43.4%
P3
55.4%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |