Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Nazar 45.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.4%
Defensive zone
Nazar 66.8%
Neutral zone
Nazar 63.7%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Hayton
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Hayton
Nazar
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Nazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
4
Hayton
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,316)
45.9% (726)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.1% (553)
45.5% (121)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (369)
30.0% (60)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Hayton is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,581).
Hayton shoots left. Nazar is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Hayton
Nazar
Home
52.7% (2,137)
44.4% (450)
Away
49.5% (2,101)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Hayton
Nazar
P1
51.9%
47.2%
P2
51.3%
41.6%
P3
49.9%
45.0%
OT
61.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
51.1%
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |