Barrett Hayton vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
47.3% (207)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
100.0% (3)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
33.3% (3)
+3.5%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.8% (433)
46.5% (129)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.8%
51.3%
P2
50.3%
46.1%
P3
55.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%