Barrett Hayton vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 81.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 69.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,316)
49.1% (3,840)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.1% (553)
51.1% (350)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (369)
45.7% (35)
-0.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayton is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,657).
Hayton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Home
52.7% (2,137)
49.7% (2,194)
Away
49.5% (2,101)
48.6% (2,031)
By Period
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
P1
51.9%
49.8%
P2
51.3%
50.5%
P3
49.9%
47.2%
OT
61.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
51.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |