Barrett Hayton vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 74.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
49.0% (3,852)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
51.3% (351)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
45.7% (35)
-0.5%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Home
52.8% (2,269)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.0%
49.9%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
49.9%
47.2%
OT
58.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |