Barrett Hayton vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 64.2%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 67.2%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 65.5%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Hayton
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Kapanen
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Hayton
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Hayton
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
46.3% (572)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
50.9% (53)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
39.5% (38)
+5.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kapanen
Home
52.8% (2,269)
46.3% (348)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Hayton
Kapanen
P1
52.0%
41.7%
P2
51.4%
49.6%
P3
49.9%
47.5%
OT
58.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |