Barrett Hayton vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 41-28 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 83.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 77.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 76.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Hayton
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
41
(69 meetings)
28
41
Hayton
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hayton 9-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
12
15
Hayton
O'Reilly
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
19
Hayton
O'Reilly
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
7
Hayton
O'Reilly
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
56.2% (15,290)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
58.7% (3,457)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
51.4% (2,826)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Hayton
O'Reilly
Home
52.8% (2,269)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Hayton
O'Reilly
P1
52.0%
55.6%
P2
51.4%
57.0%
P3
49.9%
55.0%
OT
58.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |