Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 81.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 68.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 57.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hayton
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Hayton
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Hayton
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
45.5% (756)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
63.0% (92)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
31.0% (29)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bennett
Home
48.8% (424)
46.5% (456)
Away
47.5% (438)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Hayton
Bennett
P1
52.9%
46.6%
P2
47.3%
50.5%
P3
44.1%
43.5%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
48.1%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |