Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Bennett 48.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 69.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Hayton
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hayton
Bennett
Last 9: Hayton 6-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Hayton
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
46.4% (811)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
56.9% (153)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.8% (46)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bennett
Home
56.8% (433)
49.9% (553)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Hayton
Bennett
P1
52.8%
47.4%
P2
50.3%
46.8%
P3
55.4%
48.9%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |