Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 72.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Hayton
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayton
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
50.0% (46)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lafferty
Home
56.8% (433)
47.8% (23)
Away
47.4% (344)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Hayton
Lafferty
P1
52.8%
53.3%
P2
50.3%
55.6%
P3
55.4%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |