Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Gourde 49.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hayton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hayton
Gourde
Last 9: Hayton 5-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.1% (731)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
54.3% (81)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
48.2% (85)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Hayton
Gourde
Home
48.8% (424)
50.9% (479)
Away
47.5% (438)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Hayton
Gourde
P1
52.9%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
49.8%
P3
44.1%
47.5%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
48.1%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |