Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 75.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 71.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Hayton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
18
(48 meetings)
30
18
Hayton
Gourde
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
10
1
Hayton
Gourde
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
10
9
Hayton
Gourde
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
10
8
Hayton
Gourde
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
48.4% (4,987)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
57.4% (376)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
40.0% (555)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Hayton
Gourde
Home
52.8% (2,269)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Hayton
Gourde
P1
52.0%
49.8%
P2
51.4%
47.5%
P3
49.9%
47.5%
OT
58.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |