Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Zacha 51.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 84.7%
Defensive zone
Kindel 85.5%
Neutral zone
Kindel 83.3%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Kindel
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kindel
Zacha
Last 5: Kindel 0-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Kindel
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kindel
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
53.0% (700)
-10.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
54.1% (109)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
39.2% (74)
+8.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Kindel
Zacha
Home
45.0% (291)
51.6% (438)
Away
42.1% (297)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Kindel
Zacha
P1
40.2%
57.0%
P2
45.1%
48.9%
P3
41.5%
50.5%
OT
92.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
38.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |