Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Zacha 49.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 81.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 81.1%
Neutral zone
Kindel 81.1%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Kindel
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kindel
Zacha
Last 5: Kindel 0-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Kindel
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kindel
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
48.9% (5,156)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
55.7% (813)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
42.2% (557)
+5.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Kindel
Zacha
Home
45.0% (291)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
42.1% (297)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Kindel
Zacha
P1
40.2%
49.9%
P2
45.1%
49.2%
P3
41.5%
48.2%
OT
92.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
38.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |