Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Donato 47.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 51.0%
Defensive zone
Kindel 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kindel 51.0%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Kindel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kindel
Donato
Last 5: Kindel 2-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Kindel
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
46.8% (297)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
41.0% (39)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
100.0% (1)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kindel
Donato
Home
45.0% (291)
45.8% (142)
Away
42.1% (297)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Kindel
Donato
P1
40.2%
49.5%
P2
45.1%
45.7%
P3
41.5%
43.4%
OT
92.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |