Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.5% vs 44.3%). Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Donato 44.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 59.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 60.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.2%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kindel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kindel
Donato
Last 5: Kindel 2-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Kindel
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
44.0% (1,218)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
46.0% (248)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
41.7% (12)
+5.7%
On power play, Kindel has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Kindel
Donato
Home
45.0% (291)
47.2% (743)
Away
42.1% (297)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Kindel
Donato
P1
40.2%
43.8%
P2
45.1%
44.9%
P3
41.5%
43.7%
OT
92.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |