Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Meyers on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Meyers wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meyers 53.2% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 56.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 72.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 55.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Meyers
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Meyers
Kastelic
Last 5: Meyers 3-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Meyers
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Meyers
3
1
Meyers
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meyers
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (287)
60.8% (362)
-5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
83.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
56.2% (146)
-14.8%
On power play, Meyers has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Meyers is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Meyers shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Meyers
Kastelic
Home
56.2% (137)
60.3% (242)
Away
52.7% (182)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Meyers
Kastelic
P1
62.5%
58.9%
P2
43.8%
57.3%
P3
57.3%
64.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meyers
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.2%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |