Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Meyers on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Meyers wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meyers 51.2% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 55.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Meyers
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Meyers
Kastelic
Last 7: Meyers 4-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Meyers
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Meyers
3
1
Meyers
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meyers
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (620)
57.0% (1,635)
-4.7%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
80.0% (25)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (50)
53.8% (279)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Meyers is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Meyers shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Meyers
Kastelic
Home
54.9% (368)
58.7% (904)
Away
47.2% (307)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Meyers
Kastelic
P1
58.8%
58.6%
P2
44.5%
56.5%
P3
51.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meyers
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.4%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ben Meyers |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ben Meyers |