Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Nelson 50.8% (-12.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Coleman
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
50.9% (928)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
43.4% (205)
+6.6%
On even strength, Nelson has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Coleman is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Coleman shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nelson
Home
46.2% (13)
52.9% (654)
Away
33.3% (18)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Coleman
Nelson
P1
42.9%
48.4%
P2
40.0%
54.3%
P3
28.6%
50.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%