Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Larkin 52.2% (-13.7%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Coleman
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
51.1% (915)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
48.2% (168)
+1.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coleman is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Coleman shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Coleman
Larkin
Home
46.2% (13)
51.7% (686)
Away
33.3% (18)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Coleman
Larkin
P1
42.9%
52.5%
P2
40.0%
52.7%
P3
28.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%