Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Duchene 51.8% (-13.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.1%
Defensive zone
Coleman 62.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Coleman
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
51.1% (366)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coleman is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Coleman shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Coleman
Duchene
Home
46.2% (13)
51.7% (201)
Away
33.3% (18)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Coleman
Duchene
P1
42.9%
49.0%
P2
40.0%
57.1%
P3
28.6%
49.2%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%