Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Coleman wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coleman 59.8%
Defensive zone
Coleman 86.9%
Neutral zone
Coleman 78.9%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Coleman
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Coleman
Duchene
Last 10: Coleman 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Coleman
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Coleman
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Coleman
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,061)
53.9% (10,438)
-8.7%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
57.0% (1,677)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
49.1% (468)
-13.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coleman is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Coleman shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Coleman
Duchene
Home
44.4% (664)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
41.4% (759)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Coleman
Duchene
P1
42.3%
54.4%
P2
44.6%
54.5%
P3
41.7%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |