Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-16.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Coleman
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
55.7% (856)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (144)
+0.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Coleman is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Coleman shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Coleman
O'Reilly
Home
46.2% (13)
55.5% (616)
Away
33.3% (18)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Coleman
O'Reilly
P1
42.9%
58.1%
P2
40.0%
54.9%
P3
28.6%
53.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%