Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Kadri 47.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Lizotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Lizotte
Kadri
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Lizotte
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lizotte
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lizotte
Kadri
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
46.2% (1,005)
+6.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
57.3% (199)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
26.7% (30)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kadri
Home
51.4% (383)
47.4% (641)
Away
50.9% (424)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Lizotte
Kadri
P1
48.8%
46.9%
P2
51.0%
49.5%
P3
53.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |