Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Kadri 46.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 84.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 85.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Lizotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lizotte
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Lizotte
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
46.5% (866)
+6.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
48.8% (86)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
38.5% (13)
+4.6%
On power play, Kadri has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kadri
Home
44.2% (242)
45.8% (513)
Away
56.0% (234)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Lizotte
Kadri
P1
49.6%
52.4%
P2
46.9%
48.5%
P3
52.6%
39.7%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |