Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 68.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Lizotte
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.8% (303)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
40.3% (149)
+1.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Lizotte
O'Reilly
Home
48.8% (170)
54.8% (759)
Away
45.1% (195)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Lizotte
O'Reilly
P1
44.4%
55.3%
P2
53.3%
51.9%
P3
43.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
46.8%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%