Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Nosek 58.0% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 82.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 74.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lizotte
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
59.7% (469)
-7.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
100.0% (4)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
56.5% (124)
-15.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nosek
Home
51.4% (383)
59.0% (295)
Away
50.9% (424)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Lizotte
Nosek
P1
48.8%
56.3%
P2
51.0%
61.9%
P3
53.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
59.3%