Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Nosek 48.5% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 70.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 75.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lizotte
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
52.0% (102)
+0.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
100.0% (2)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
29.0% (31)
+14.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nosek
Home
44.2% (242)
52.0% (50)
Away
56.0% (234)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Lizotte
Nosek
P1
49.6%
45.0%
P2
46.9%
42.0%
P3
52.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%