Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 60.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Wheeler
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
52.3% (560)
+1.5%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
57.5% (113)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
62.5% (16)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Wheeler is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Wheeler shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Pavelski
Home
53.8% (65)
54.2% (360)
Away
49.2% (61)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Wheeler
Pavelski
P1
46.2%
54.5%
P2
56.5%
56.7%
P3
51.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
61.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%