Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 60.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 72.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 51.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Wheeler
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
51.5% (594)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
51.7% (87)
+9.0%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Wheeler is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Wheeler shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Pavelski
Home
46.2% (26)
53.1% (339)
Away
72.2% (36)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Wheeler
Pavelski
P1
76.9%
53.8%
P2
62.1%
47.8%
P3
50.0%
50.2%
Final 5 min
76.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%