Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 61.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 61.8%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 51.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Wheeler
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
53.1% (113)
+0.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
100.0% (1)
-56.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
60.0% (10)
-26.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Wheeler is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Wheeler shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Carpenter
Home
53.8% (65)
58.5% (65)
Away
49.2% (61)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Wheeler
Carpenter
P1
46.2%
65.8%
P2
56.5%
50.0%
P3
51.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
61.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%