Blake Wheeler vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 83.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 77.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.6%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Wheeler
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wheeler
Carpenter
Last 8: Wheeler 4-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Wheeler
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.6% (2,027)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
41.5% (41)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
43.9% (467)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Carpenter
Home
47.5% (883)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
44.2% (822)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Wheeler
Carpenter
P1
45.0%
49.6%
P2
48.2%
47.7%
P3
44.5%
48.0%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |