Blake Wheeler vs Ryan Carpenter

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Wheeler 46.1% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Wheeler 83.2%
Defensive zone Carpenter 77.7%
Neutral zone Carpenter 55.6%
Result Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Wheeler Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 4 (8 meetings)
4
4
Wheeler Carpenter
Last 8: Wheeler 4-4 Carpenter

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Wheeler Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler Carpenter
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Wheeler
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.6% (2,027)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
41.5% (41)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
43.9% (467)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +8.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Carpenter
Home
47.5% (883)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
44.2% (822)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Wheeler
Carpenter
P1
45.0%
49.6%
P2
48.2%
47.7%
P3
44.5%
48.0%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%
53.0%
45.9%
Carpenter
48.0%
47.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 16, 2020 2 12:32 Neutral Blake Wheeler
Feb 16, 2020 2 09:05 Neutral Ryan Carpenter
Feb 16, 2020 2 08:48 Defensive Blake Wheeler
Feb 16, 2020 1 08:17 Defensive Ryan Carpenter
Feb 9, 2020 2 17:08 Offensive Ryan Carpenter
Feb 9, 2020 1 05:37 Offensive Ryan Carpenter
Jan 19, 2020 1 14:11 Neutral Blake Wheeler
Jan 19, 2020 1 11:30 Defensive Blake Wheeler