Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs McDavid 48.1% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 68.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Groulx
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
47.7% (686)
-5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
49.3% (75)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
48.9% (45)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Groulx
McDavid
Home
53.8% (39)
50.0% (412)
Away
30.4% (79)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Groulx
McDavid
P1
48.1%
48.0%
P2
38.6%
48.5%
P3
32.6%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%