Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.8% vs McLeod 47.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 54.4%
Defensive zone
Groulx 58.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 55.9%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Groulx
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Groulx
McLeod
Last 5: Groulx 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Groulx
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (75)
49.0% (827)
-3.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.0% (91)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (24)
43.0% (272)
-18.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Groulx is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Groulx shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Groulx
McLeod
Home
53.8% (39)
48.5% (619)
Away
30.6% (62)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Groulx
McLeod
P1
48.0%
52.7%
P2
36.8%
43.9%
P3
36.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
36.0%▼
39.0%
39.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |