Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs McLeod 47.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 58.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 66.9%
Neutral zone
Groulx 67.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Groulx
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Groulx
McLeod
Last 5: Groulx 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Groulx
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
49.0% (827)
-6.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
44.0% (91)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
43.0% (272)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Groulx
McLeod
Home
53.8% (39)
48.5% (619)
Away
30.4% (79)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Groulx
McLeod
P1
48.1%
52.7%
P2
38.6%
43.9%
P3
32.6%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |