Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs McLeod 49.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Groulx 75.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 75.3%
Neutral zone
Groulx 76.4%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Groulx
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Groulx
McLeod
Last 10: Groulx 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
5
Groulx
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Groulx
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Groulx
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
50.4% (3,376)
-5.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.7% (296)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
44.1% (644)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Groulx shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Groulx
McLeod
Home
50.0% (244)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
36.1% (252)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Groulx
McLeod
P1
45.1%
50.8%
P2
43.9%
48.0%
P3
40.4%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |