Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Carrick 54.2% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 56.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 61.2%
Neutral zone
Groulx 60.9%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Groulx
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Groulx
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Groulx
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
55.5% (470)
-13.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (3)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
50.0% (58)
-25.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Groulx is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Groulx shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Groulx
Carrick
Home
53.8% (39)
58.6% (261)
Away
30.4% (79)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Groulx
Carrick
P1
48.1%
55.9%
P2
38.6%
53.5%
P3
32.6%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |