Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Carrick 52.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 64.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 65.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 68.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Groulx
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Groulx
Carrick
Last 6: Groulx 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Groulx
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Groulx
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
52.2% (2,544)
-7.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
61.3% (75)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
50.8% (435)
-15.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Groulx is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Groulx shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Groulx
Carrick
Home
50.0% (244)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
36.1% (252)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Groulx
Carrick
P1
45.1%
51.8%
P2
43.9%
52.3%
P3
40.4%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |