Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 56.9%). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Tkachuk 55.0% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Horvat
Tkachuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
54.9% (153)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
59.4% (106)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
100.0% (1)
-51.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
59.4% (537)
50.8% (128)
Away
54.0% (544)
62.9% (132)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
59.9%
56.6%
P2
54.5%
58.9%
P3
56.1%
56.2%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%