Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Tkachuk 50.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 75.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Horvat
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Horvat
Tkachuk
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
11
Horvat
Tkachuk
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
0
Horvat
Tkachuk
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Tkachuk
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
48.9% (1,574)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
51.4% (1,303)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
45.0% (20)
+2.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tkachuk
Home
56.1% (8,423)
50.7% (1,435)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.3% (1,462)
By Period
Horvat
Tkachuk
P1
54.1%
49.4%
P2
54.5%
51.3%
P3
55.0%
49.1%
OT
49.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |